If you haven’t heard me say this 100x before, or are just tuning in to hear what yet another one of these “talking heads” thinks is sure to happen in markets – let me disappoint again – NO ONE KNOWS what will happen next in
All posts by Larry Berman
Seasonality is often an important consideration in your asset allocation. So far in 2018, the seasonal pattern has not held at all. The market was strong in January, August and September, where history suggests weak markets. So far in Q4 that is an historically strong
It’s been a while since I have had @EconguyRosie (AKA David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff) on the show to get his outlook on markets. I’ve been a follower of Rosie since he was the Chief Economist for Merrill Lynch 20 years ago and I was
Last week I spent a lot of time thinking and reading about the events of the 1987 crash. One of the catalysts for the crash back then was a heightened degree of trade deficits (sound familiar?) with a specific focus on Germany. On October 14,
I often get asked about when to use covered call ETFs versus similar exposure that does not have the enhanced yield. The general answer is that in sideways to falling markets, a covered call strategy will generally improve your results. For Canadians, the benefit of
For years I’ve been preaching the merits of being an active investor versus a passive investor. The unique aspect of my approach is to use passive index strategies with ETFs to make active asset allocation decisions. Asset allocation is far more important than security selection
I’ve been asked several times over the past week what happens if Trump sweeps vs. loses both houses of Congress. What if the pollsters are wrong like they were about Trump in 2016. According to Nate Silver of www.fivethirtyeight.com , the guy who was very
When the market speaks it makes sense to listen. Our chart this week looks at the changes in the Eurodollar yield curve over the past year. Eurodollar futures are the backbone of the global banking system. They reflect the expectations for (LIBOR) funding rates for
I’m in Ottawa this week for some meetings with a few MPs. I’m working for sensible policy to help Canadians and to avoid a bleak fiscal future if hard decisions are not made soon. By way of disclosure so, I don’t get accused to being
Global bond yields are moving higher and in some cases breaking to levels not seen in several years. The moves on a multi-decade scale are hardly noticeable. Japanese yields are still extraordinarily low, but are probably most important from a psychological perspective. As central banks