Category Archives: Markets Views & Analysis

Strong Breadth Suggests More Upside Likely

Strong breadth readings are generally bullish for the markets. The more stocks that are participating the better. We saw a massive breadth thrust around the US election and following the announcements of high efficacy on the vaccines. This week as part of our PRO-EYEs series,

Valuation for US Large Caps Has Never Been Higher

Historically the last show of the year I do my fearless forecast for the coming year. This year it’s bleak from a pure valuation perspective. But from a liquidity perspective, it’s up, up, and away. Our first table shows the Street has an average 23.69

Strong November Rally is Stretched and Suggests Some Caution

Last week we discussed the extreme bullish readings in the AAII Sentiment survey. Statistically, the difference between the bulls and the bears was at the 95% confidence interval. Historically, this marks an extreme condition and on average, the probability of return over the next year

The Quality of Earnings Growth Globally Remains Weak

Over the past decade, outside of a handful of large technology companies, earnings per share (EPS) growth has, in part, been a function of financial engineering (by way of share buybacks). All this is made possible by low interest rates. As governments continue to pile

Why The Quality Factor Should Be In Your Portfolio

The quality investment factor is shinning in the past few years. These are companies that are good corporate stewards of their balance sheets, throw off lots of free cash low, have much more stable earnings than most, and do not use excessive leverage (as much

What’s the “Real” Deal on the Gold Rally

With gold making all-time highs, I thought I would update some of my thinking for followers. Asset (commodity) prices move based on the fundamentals of supply and demand distorted by periods of the manic speculation of fear and greed. The rationale for the investment (buy,