Category Archives: Geopolitics

Does the US Election Outcome Matter for Markets?

Yes. In general, the configuration of Congress relative to the White House has a meaningful impact on spending patterns, which has longer-term implications. The Trump tax cuts in 2018 had a meaningful impact on corporate profits for example. The way it’s looking today, a Biden

Did the FOMC Hint at a Pivot Last week?

At 8:52am on Friday Oct 21, S&P e-mini futures were down about 1% and the US Dollar was very strong versus most currencies. Many have wondered for months what it would take for the FOMC to understand the strong US Dollar was a problem. Maybe

Keep Your Eye on Long Term Investment Opportunities

The tragedy of war is difficult from a human toll perspective. I recall having tears in my eyes trying to give investment advice in the days and weeks following September 11, 2001. The lessons of past tragedies remind us to keep focus on your longer-term

OPEC Plus ESG Equals Higher Prices!

Oil markets were devastated by COVID in 2020, but it is really Environment Social Governance (ESG) investing trends that has had a bigger (longer-term) impact. Most understand that the future of energy creation will be in renewables. I am not sure transatlantic flights will every

Chinese Tech Stocks in the Crosshairs

Antitrust issues have been a market factor since the 1887. A company gets too big and it can hurt consumers. There is a basic history lesson here. In recent years, big tech MSFT, GOOGL, FB and others have been subject of Congressional crosshairs. Jeff Bezos