Category Archives: Behavioural Finance

AAII Sentiment Suggests Near-Term Caution

My approach to markets are mostly about understanding the probabilities of upside returns versus downside risks. In this regard, 2020 provides clarity with the benefit of hindsight. In a recession like we have experienced, this would be the first one since records began, where we

Berman’s Call for Thursday, April 2, 2020

Click here to watch the Thursday, April 2, 2020 episode of Berman’s Call on BNN Bloomberg TOP PICKS: INDA, FM, GLD One of the market impacts from this crisis is a cut to dividends. From companies looking to save cash From legislation that will limit

What is Keeping Larry Up at Night?

It’s not the VIX at 50+. It’s the fact that after-tax corporate profits tracked by the Federal Reserve in the national income data has not gone up in 7 years (including Trump’s ill-timed tax cut) by the way. So what’s going on here? It’s simple,

2020 Outlook and 2019 Recap of Berman’s Calls

The tradition on Berman’s Call has been for me to use my last show of the year to forecast what I expect for the coming year and address any mea culpa for bad Berman Calls in 2019. I got the volatility outlook for 2019 all

Biggest Hedge Fund in the World Added a Hedge

When Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater, the largest hedge fund in the world, buys put protection on the S&P 500, people should pay attention. It was all over the business news media late last week. I’ve said for years that BNN viewers should read everything

China Trade War Now Post 2020 So Focus on Currency War

President Trump is not likely going to get a trade deal with China before the next election. He basically told us that on Friday, and it’s confirmed my market chatter today. What’s plan B? Currency wars. In studying the 1987 stock market crash, there we